I have just only one comment here - for the current administration of the U.S. government "democracy agneda" is just a part of the "influence game"...
Friday, 18 January 2008
Democracy agenda as a part of the influence game
I have just only one comment here - for the current administration of the U.S. government "democracy agneda" is just a part of the "influence game"...
Georgian political figures
1. Total number of voters: 3 527 964
2. Voter Turnout: 1 982 318
3. Ballots repealed 33 129
2. Arkadi Patarkatsishvili - 140 826 votes, 7.10%
3. David Gamkrelidze - 79 747 votes, 4.02%
4. Shalva Natelashvili - 128 589 votes, 6.49%
5. Mikheil Saakashvili - 1 060 042 votes, 53.47%
6. Giorgi Maisashvili - 15 249 votes, 0.77%
7. Irina Sarishvili-Chanturia - 3 242 votes, 0.16%
Russian helicopters vs. Georgian tanks or it is better to trade
On January, 6 a group of Russian Special Forces landed on the peak of Elbrus by a special helicopter. Elbrus is the highest mountain in Europe (5642m. from the Sea Level); thus not only landing, but flying at this height for a helicopter is an onerous task. It's noteworthy that among the group of Special Forces who landed on Elbrus was Patrushev, the director of Russian State Security Service. He declared that the operation had no analogue in the world.
Landing of the helicopter was part of the training Russia had been carrying out at the north border of Georgia since the last month. To be more precise, State Security Service has launched the training which envisages mastering the airborne operations in the mountainous region of the Caucasus. According to the training program, aircrafts and helicopters carrying special task force groups, simultaneously took up from different airfields. The operation was fulfilled under the conditions close to real military operations and was accordingly disguised.
During this training the Special Forces landed at different points of North Caucasus, demonstrating that they can mobilize Special Task Force groups all over Russia and land them at the point of destination, this time close to the border of Georgia.
For the director of State Security Service Patrushev, landing on Elbrus was a promotion show.
Last year he landed his helicopter on the South Pole (the helicopter took off from the Russian warship drifting in the Atlantic). It cost millions of Russian tax payer's rubles.
The peak of Elbrus is the point from which Georgia is visible without the aid of any optical device; so we can assume that the director of Russian State Security Service had the pleasure of freely observing Georgia...
There are more than 160 T-72 tanks (of different modification) in the arsenal of Georgian Army. Part of them is more than 20 years old. In the 1970th-1980th T- 72 were considered to be modern machines, but today they are obsolete. However, it is not its engine or armor that is outdated, but its radio-electronic and optical-electronic equipment. There are two possible solutions: either we dismantle these tanks and buy new ones, which is connected with substantial expenses, or we have them radically modernized. We should take into consideration that in 2003, there were only 39 T- 72s at Georgia's disposal (8 of them belonged to the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the rest - to the army), while almost 130 different modifications of T-72s were bought in Ukraine and Chech republic during the last four years. To dismantle tanks which were purchased only 2-3 years ago, no matter how outdated they are, is incredible. So the decision to modify them seems quite logical.
The modernization will touch five main components, which guarantee the second life of these 20 year old tanks and may come close to modern American 'Abrahams,' German 'Leopards' and Israeli 'Merkevs'.
Hmmm.....
If we presume that Russia is a potential aggressor/enemy of Georgia, why do we need so many tanks? Great Caucasian mountains divide Georgia from Russia (mainly), and one should invest more into the equipment of the Air Forces. These old fashioned tanks equiped with modern technologies and electronics are good to fight maybe just with Armenia, Azerbaijan and the secessionist government of Abkhazia, but not with Russia...
Hmmmm....
Still remember Russian threats to impose economic embargo on Latvia, but it never happened. Reason? It is easy to explain - business in Latvia mainly run by local Russian speakrers and the biggest investors are from Norway, Sweden, Russia and now Estonia. For example, "Latvijas Balsams" is owned now by S.P.I. Worldwide Trade Limited, which is a subsidiary of Russian owned S.P.I. Group, leading vodka producer in Russia. It is modern nowadays among Russian businessmen to have a summer cottage in Jurmala, where they spend just few days during the International song competition "New Wave" organised every June. Our economies are intertwined... Are there any serious investments of Russia in Georgia? Do not know, really, it is really interesting to know..... It was Georgia who heavily depended on Russia, not vice versa... Maybe it is important not just attract investors from Turkey, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, US, European and Arab countries, but also from Russia? Anyway Russia will not run away and stay forever as your neghbour. It is better to trade than insult each other...
Wednesday, 9 January 2008
"Everyone called me to congratulate...."
Four years passed....
Nothing has changed, only now leaders of "free and partly free and non-free countries" (according to the Freedom House Report 2007) try to congratulate a presidential candidate Mikheil Saakashvili with his victory at the recently conducted presidential elections. However, official results should be announced by CEC only on January 13...
So, Mikheil Saakashvili has been congratulated by...
PM and President of Ukraine Yuliya Timoshenko and Viktor Yushchenko
strategic partners like president of Turkey Abdullah Gul and president of Azerbaijan Ilham Aliyev
President of France Nikola Sarkozy
President of Poland Lech Kaczynski
President of Estonia Toomas Hendrik Ilves
Mikheil Saakashvili was also congratulated by the leader of Russia's Liberal Democratic Party (LDPR) Vladimir Zhirinovsky, who had sent him a telegram congratulating him on "a brilliant victory" in Georgia's presidential election but that Saakashvili's victory meant triumph for "an authoritarian regime." :))
Interesting that in a recent article published by International Herald Tribune (IHT) on January 8, Mikheil Saakashvili was named as a President of Georgia... "President Saakashvili says Georgia is on way to democracy" is the name of the article... Is he??
I am not surprised by these facts... Just read carefully the statement of the Assistant of Secretary of State Daniel Fried on December 28, 2007...
Georgia’s Presidential elections are upon us, so I want to offer a few observations on their importance for Georgia’s place in the world. In doing so, I would emphasize that Georgia’s strategic weight derives not principally from its geography, important though that is, but from the example Georgia can set as a thriving democracy, inspiring freedom throughout the region and beyond.
The International Community is doing all that it can to ensure that the January 5th election is free and fair. For Georgia’s own sake, and to demonstrate to the Euro- Atlantic family that Georgian democracy is on track after the recent setbacks, the January 5 election must be free and fair.
Georgia is very important in the Freedom and Democracy Agenda by the current Administration of the White House in Washington.. And it is extremely important to keep Georgia on the democratic track. Failure of Georgia would jeopardise the whole project... But it is very important in this case not to be blind... Otherwise "democracy agenda will prove to be just a part of the influence game"...
"Challenges" or let's read IEOM report more carefully
Significant amendments to the United Election Code (UEC) were adopted on 22 November 2007, and further amendmentswere passed on 12 December, after the election had been called. Although these amendmentsgenerally introduced improvements to the law, enacting modifications so close to an election is not
in line with the Code of Good Practice in Electoral Matters of the Venice Commission of the Council of Europe. While pertinent inconsistencies, gaps, and ambiguities leave room for varying interpretation, the UEC is generally adequate for the conduct of democratic elections, if implemented in good faith.
While the new CEC composition formula resulted in a welcome greaterpolitical inclusiveness, the commission’s members were often not observing the neutrality requiredof election administration, and many decisions were voted in a partisan manner
The opposition parties were underrepresented in managerial positions at the PEC level. The rulingUnited National Movement (UNM) held a de facto majority in PECs. According to the CEC, DEC-appointed PEC members were elected as chairpersons in most PECs, while only two chairpersonswere opposition appointees.
Despite major verification efforts undertaken, perceived and real inaccuracies in the voter lists remained a major concern for many stakeholders. Political parties and NGOs provided OSCE/ODIHR observers with some examples of multiple and incomplete records, omissions ofeligible voters, spelling and typographical errors, and cases of deceased persons remaining on thelist. The CEC acknowledged that mistakes might have remained, citing lack of time due to theunexpected announcement of the election. At least six complaints submitted to the CEC byopposition parties, with over 40,000 voters’ records claimed as being inaccurate. All thesecomplaints were submitted after the legal deadline for voter list verification. The CEC stated that cases listed in the complaints were checked and necessary changes were made when inaccuracieswere confirmed.
This was the first genuinely competitive presidential election in Georgia. Candidate registration was overall inclusive and transparent. (!)
The blurring of the line between state and political party, which is not in compliance with paragraph5.4 of the 1990 OSCE Copenhagen Document, was an issue and created an unequal campaignenvironment. The distribution of vouchers for such things as utilities and medical supplies to vulnerable groups was criticized as an alleged misuse of budgetary funds in support of Mr.Saakashvili. UNM officials said the voucher distribution was planned before the election wascalled. However, there is evidence that the distribution was used for campaign purposes, blurring the separation between state activities and the UNM candidate’s election campaign. The vouchers prominently displayed that they were a subsidy from the President. Healthcare vouchers, as well as employment scheme leaflets, featured visually outstanding number “5”s – the number on the ballotunder which the UNM has run in elections since 2004. Distributors of vouchers sometimes asked recipients whether they would vote for Mr. Saakashvili, and asked them to sign documents confirming their support. Vouchers were in some cases distributed from UNM offices
Moreover, in reply to allegations that Mr. Saakashvili misused state resources, the UNM responded that the party had paid for such services. The contentiousness of this issue was fuelled by the lack of provision for candidates to supply reports on campaign financing before the election. The inauguration of a new pipeline by Mr. Saakashvili in Akhalkalaki, as well as the official opening of Tbilisi-Senaki-Leselidze highway lighting system, were given the appearance of presidential events, not in accord with Mr. Saakashvili’s status as a candidate who does not currently hold public office.
The Media
While the media in general enjoy freedom of expression, they are under strong influence from theirowners and political patrons. Consequently, all five main TV stations were under a measure of influence from candidates and political parties. The campaign coverage in news programs lacked balance on most monitored TV stations, with Mr. Saakashvili generally receiving the most coverage. On the other hand, the newspapers monitored by the OSCE/ODIHR EOM provided adiverse range of opinions, with Mr. Saakashvili generally being the most often criticized candidate.
(let me say here that in Georgia people more watch TV than read newspapers, especially in regions, 'cause TV Channels are free of charge, but for newspapers you should pay, and taking into account impoverishment of the population in general, newspapers significantly lack behin the TV Channels and radio. You can say that it is possible to read news in the Internet, but the percentage of the population having access to the World Web is too small)
Two nationwide private TV channels, Rustavi 2 and Mze, showed clear support for Mr. Saakashviliand provided him with substantial prime-time news coverage. For example, Rustavi 2, Mze andpublic TV broadcast live a 28-minute prime-time news item about a meeting of Mr. Saakashviliwith teachers in Tbilisi. Other candidates did not receive such substantial coverage of theircampaign events. In addition, no other candidate had a chance to directly address the citizens with atelevised New Year greeting, which was broadcast by all three channels.
Another national broadcaster, Imedi TV, offered its viewers a different picture of the campaign.While Mr. Saakashvili received 31 per cent of the channel’s news coverage, 19 per cent wasnegative in tone. The next most covered candidate, Mr. Patarkatsishvili, received 26 per cent of thecoverage, 29 per cent of which was negative in tone. Tbilisi-based local TV Kavkazia was criticalof Mr. Saakashvili and provided a platform for his main rivals.
On 26 December, six leading journalists announced their decision to leave Imedi TV in connectionwith the accusations against Imedi’s co-owner Arkadi Patarkatsishvili. Imedi TV’s managementconsequently temporarily suspended broadcasts in order to “distance themselves from dirty political games”, alleging pressure from both Mr. Patarkatsishvili and the authorities.
The CEC conducted, for the first time, its own media monitoring, through a commercial company,and released three media monitoring reports. The methodology chosen, as well as the interpretationof the results of quantitative and qualitative analysis, have resulted in a positive assessment of the campaign coverage and did not identify any substantial imbalances in the news.
The very high cost of paid political advertising on television limited the candidates’ possibilities to campaign in the media. Three of them charged approximately ten times more for politicaladvertising than for commercials. Two weeks before the election, public TV decreased its prices to make them more accessible for candidates, however they still remained twice as high as commercialrates. Only Mr. Saakashvili was able to place paid spots on all four nationwide channels.
Complaints and Appeals
Despite numerous allegations of election-related violations, a relatively small number of official complaints were submitted to election commissions and courts. Few complaints were submitted toDECs and regional courts, with the concentration of cases in Tbilisi. Opposition parties and NGOs explained this with a lack of trust in the impartiality of the election administration and courts inadjudication of election-related complaints. There are also credible reports that the public feared submitting complaints and witness statements on politically motivated offences.
All campaign-related complaints, except one (alleging vote buying by Mr.Patarkatsishvili), were filed against the ruling party candidate or government officials. Both the CEC and courts tended to stretch the law beyond reasonable interpretation and without regard to itsspirit, in favour of the ruling party candidate and public officials.
In its adjudication of complaints, the CEC failed to follow important procedures provided by domestic laws and international standards. Notably, CEC regulations do not adequately addresshow complaints are to be dealt with. CEC members seemingly lacked adjudication skills and oftenbased decisions on political interests and not on sound interpretation of the law.
Reports were submitted to various law enforcement and governmental bodies, with allegations ofintimidation, kidnappings and attacks on opposition supporters and close family members, someimplicating law enforcement officials. The police did not appear to sufficiently investigate suchcomplaints, and the Interior Ministry reported that many cases have already been closed for lack ofevidence. The OSCE/ODIHR EOM is not aware of any criminal prosecutions being initiated insuch cases.
Election Day
Election day was generally peaceful. Overall, voting was assessed positively by a large majority of IEOM observers. However, organizational and procedural shortcomings were observed, especially with regard to inconsistent application of inking procedures, intended as a safeguard against multiple voting. This is especially significant given the reintroduction of election-day voter registration and the scale by which it was used.
The circumstances in and around polling stations were frequently problematic. Some 12 per cent of polling station premises were overcrowded, and outside 19 per cent of polling stations large numbers of voters were waiting to vote. Tension outside polling stations was noted in 2 per cent of reports, and inside the premises in 3 per cent. Outside many polling stations, buses transporting UNM supporters to vote were noted. Campaign material was noted inside 3 per cent of pollingstations visited. In addition, observers found CEC-produced stickers with the text “Where will you be on 5 January?”, with the “5” in a red circle visually resembling that used on Mr. Saakashvili’scampaign materials.
The vote count was evaluated less positively, with a significant number of IEOM observers assessing it as bad or very bad. In most polling stations observed, the counting process was very slow. A considerable number of PECs did not perform basic reconciliation procedures before opening the ballot boxes, such as establishing the number of voters who voted and entering it into the protocol. In nearly half of counts observed, voters’ choices were not read aloud during the count, and at times, PEC members and observers were not allowed to examine the ballots, inviolation of the law. Determination of ballot validity was not always reasonable and consistent. Unauthorized persons frequently participated in the vote count.
Many PECs had problems completing the results protocol, and revised figures which had been entered into the protocol earlier. Occasionally, protocols had been pre-signed and completed inpencil rather than ink. The result protocols were often not posted for public scrutiny. While theCEC is posting precinct result protocols on its website for the first time, only a small number ofprotocols had been posted by mid-morning of the day following the election.
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As we see IEOM is more than not satisfied with vote counting, but this is an essential part of the election procedure! How these election can be entirely free and democratic if we have "A LOT OF SO-CALLED CHALLENGES"???
International Community did not say that these election were free and fair, in general they were in line with OSCE and CoE committments about democratic elections. But let me ask then, if such kind of elections were held in Latvia or in the UK, would you be satisfied and claim that everything was done in a democratic way?
Food for thoughts....